‘And as we reach four o'clock in the morning, I can confidently say that Jeremy Corbyn will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.’ This sentence might not be as far-fetched as we thought. In a recent poll by Survation, who were the most accurate at the 2017 General Election, Labour have an eight-point lead on the Conservatives. (Labour 45, Conservatives 37, Lib Dems 6, UKIP 4, Green 1) This would give Labour 317 seats and the Conservatives 267. Although not a majority, they'd find it simple to form an alliance with the other progressive parties in order to have a working government.
How can it be then that Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour has taken such a huge lead in the polls since the General Election? Since June, Corbyn has continued campaigning all around Britain in order to bring his message to the people. Corbyn campaigned so well during the election that he closed the polling gap in June to a single point. Even his toughest of critics had to eat their own words as they couldn’t fault his tenacity and excellent campaigning skills. Since June, Corbyn has campaigned as hard as he did during the election and has slowly won over even more of his critics.
Part of Corbyn’s campaigning has seen him conduct interviews with popular magazines, appear on Channel Four’s ‘Gogglebox’ and pose for the front cover of Tory-boy magazine ‘GQ’. The latter has caused some to ask why Corbyn has chosen to appear on the front of the magazine that is openly aimed at Conservatives with their glamorous products and flashy adverts. However, some believe it is a stroke of genius. Corbyn has given himself an audience that might not usually give him the time of day. Part of Corbyn’s charm is his openness to popular culture and knowledge of trends. Corbyn’s infamous ‘man's not hot’ quote is one example of this. We have to wonder if this is down to him or his team. We’re all aware of his relationship with Stormzy and support from the grime industry. Many believe Corbyn references youth culture in order to keep the youth vote, but others believe he is genuinely up to date with youth culture.
The question now is, can Corbyn and Labour keep the lead and continue to build on it, or will the Conservatives, who are currently self-destructing, regroup and regain their lead over Labour? With the current state of the Brexit negotiations and controversy surrounding misconduct by cabinet members, the Conservatives are at loggerheads with each other and aren't portraying the ‘Strong and Stable’ image that they were so keen on peddling in June. If things continue to go the way they are, I don’t how the Conservatives can continue to cling on to power. Labour’s lead in the polls will naturally also depend on the Conservative’s actions over the next few years. But for now, Corbyn is doing everything right and the Tories are doing everything wrong. We shall see how the Brexit negotiations pan out and what will happen to certain cabinet members in the next few months. All of this will have an impact on the polls.